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Space Weather Alert - 7 October 2015

What Has Happened?

 

Image of the Sun from the Solar Dynamic Observatory showing the Coronal hole (SDO/NASA)

A chart showing current estimated global geomagnetic activity (Kp)


A recurrent equatorial Coronal Hole is currently in an Earth-facing position and the High Speed Stream (HSS) from this Coronal Hole is anticipated to arrive today. On the previous rotation this HSS produced a significant geomagnetic storm with a peak of STORM G3, and this is likely to be repeated this time around. We have already experienced periods of STORM G1 and STORM G2 this morning, due to the effects of a Co-rotating Interactive Region (CIR) that is preceding this HSS. The HSS is likely to continue enhancing the geomagnetic field for 24-48 hours before subsiding.

Assuming clear dark skies, there is an increased chance of seeing the aurora over the next couple of evenings. Those in Scotland, northern England and Northern Ireland would be likely to have the best chance, if the weather were to be favourable and if geomagnetic activity levels are as expected.

 

 

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Glossary

BGS
The British Geological Survey is one of the Natural Environment Research Council's Research Centres.

Coronal Hole
A region in the Sun’s outer atmosphere (corona) where hot material can flow unrestrained by its magnetic fields out into space.

 
High Speed Stream
A fast moving stream of solar wind, responsible for magnetic storms.
 

Magnetogram
The variation, minute by minute, of the strength and direction of the Earth’s magnetic field. Measured in units of nano-Tesla (for the strength of the field) or in degrees (direction of the field).

Solar Wind
The ever-present expansion of the Sun’s hot outer atmosphere into the solar system, which carries space weather within it.