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BGS Global Geomagnetic Activity Forecast

Forecast period
(noon-to-noon GMT) 		Forecast Global Activity level
Average Max
3 FEB-4 FEB QUIET QUIET
4 FEB-5 FEB QUIET STORM G2
5 FEB-6 FEB ACTIVE STORM G2

For more information about the forecast and activity categories see
geomag.bgs.ac.uk/education/activitylevels.html

Activity during last 24 hours

Global   Local (UK)
Date Average Max At time (UTC) Average Max At time (UTC)
2 FEB-3 FEB QUIET QUIET 00:00-03:00 QUIET QUIET 00:00-03:00

Additional Comments

Solar activity is high with active region 14366 continuing to produce several M-class flares.
The only Earth-directed coronal mass ejection (CME) in the forecast is associated with the X8.1 flare from the 1st Feb. Modelling of this complex event suggests a glancing blow on the 5th. Geomagnetic activity could reach STORM G1 to STORM G2 levels following the CME arrival.
Time of forecast: 03 Feb 2026
© UKRI